Research Outputs

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Publication

Uncertain induced prioritized aggregation operators in the analysis of the imports and exports

2021, Ph.D. Mellado-Cid, Cristhian, Espinoza-Audelo, Luis, Dr. León-Castro, Ernesto, Merigó, José, Blanco-Mesa, Fabio

Interval numbers are widely used in many fields to provide information about different scenarios. This paper presents several new uncertain average formulations using the ordered weighted average, prioritized, probabilistic and induced operators. First, the work introduces the uncertain prioritized induced probabilistic ordered weighted average (UPIPOWA) operator that its main applicability is in complex group decision making problems. Also, a wide range of special cases and extensions using quasi-arithmetic means are presented, such is the case of the quasi-arithmetic UPIPOWA (QUPIPOWA) operator. The study analyzes the applicability of this new approach in economic variables, specifically are imports and exports. Particularly, the paper focuses on measuring the imports and exports for Latin America for 2017

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Bonferroni means with the induced Owawa operator

2020, Dr. León-Castro, Ernesto, Blanco-Mesa, Fabio, Merigó, José

The induced ordered weighted average is an averaging aggregation operator that provides a parameterized family of aggregation operators between the minimum and the maximum. This paper presents a new operator that takes into the same formulation the IOWA operator and the Bonferroni means. This new operator is called Bonferroni Induced Ordered Weighted Averaging-Weighted Average (BON-IOWAWA) operator. The main advantage of this approach is the possibility of reordering the results according to complex ranking processes based on order inducing variables. The article also considers the applicability of the new approach in the decision-making process in the selection of investment.

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Forecasting the exchange rate with multiple linear regression and heavy ordered weighted average operators

2022, Dr. León-Castro, Ernesto, Flores-Sosa, Martha, Merigó, José, Yager, Ronald

This paper introduces the multiple linear regression heavy ordered weighted average (MLR-HOWA) operator. On the MLR-HOWA operator, the beta values are obtained with the use of the HOWA means. In that sense, it provides a new range of possibilities by under or overestimating the result based on the decision maker’s expectations and knowledge. Therefore, the MLR-HOWA provides a forecasting tool that can analyze multiple scenarios from minimum to maximum. The main properties and two extensions using induced and generalized variables are also presented. An application in exchange rate forecasting based on inflation and interest rate as independent variables for five Latin American countries is submitted. Among the main results, it is possible to identify that the forecasting error is reduced when different combinations of MLR with OWA operators are done.

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Covariances with OWA operators and Bonferroni means

2020, Dr. León-Castro, Ernesto, Blanco-Mesa, Fabio, Merigó, José

The covariance is a statistical technique that is widely used to measure the dispersion between two sets of elements. This work develops new covariance measures by using the ordered weighted average (OWA) operator and Bonferroni means. Thus, this work presents the Bonferroni covariance OWA operator. The main advantage of this approach is that the decision maker can underestimate or overestimate the covariance according to his or her attitudes. The article further generalizes this formulation by using generalized and quasi-arithmetic means to obtain a wide range of particular types of covariances, including the quadratic Bonferroni covariance and the cubic Bonferroni covariance. The paper also considers some other extensions by using induced aggregation operators in order to use complex reordering processes in the analysis. The work ends by studying the applicability of these new techniques to real-world problems and presents an illustrative example of a research and development (R&D) investment problem.